From Correlation to Causation: Understanding Climate Change through Causal Analysis and LLM Interpretations
Shan Shan

TL;DR
This paper introduces a three-step causal inference framework combining correlation analysis, machine learning causality discovery, and large language model interpretations to better understand socioeconomic factors impacting climate change.
Contribution
It presents a novel integrated framework that advances climate change analysis by combining causal inference with LLM-driven contextual understanding.
Findings
Identifies key socioeconomic factors influencing carbon emissions
Uncovers causal relationships within climate change data
Supports data-driven policy-making in climate strategies
Abstract
This research presents a three-step causal inference framework that integrates correlation analysis, machine learning-based causality discovery, and LLM-driven interpretations to identify socioeconomic factors influencing carbon emissions and contributing to climate change. The approach begins with identifying correlations, progresses to causal analysis, and enhances decision making through LLM-generated inquiries about the context of climate change. The proposed framework offers adaptable solutions that support data-driven policy-making and strategic decision-making in climate-related contexts, uncovering causal relationships within the climate change domain.
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Taxonomy
TopicsBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Climate Change Policy and Economics
MethodsCausal inference
