Regional Air Mobility Flight Demand Modeling in Tennessee State

TL;DR

This paper develops a demand modeling framework for Regional Air Mobility in Tennessee, analyzing trip data and cost factors to identify conditions under which RAM becomes a competitive transportation option.

Contribution

It introduces a predictive demand model for RAM in Tennessee, incorporating cost, time, and risk factors, and evaluates the impact of network expansion on demand patterns.

Findings

Expanding RAM networks reduces demand variability and improves competitiveness.

RAM demand increases when air travel time exceeds 1 hour and ground GTC surpasses 300.

Demand is higher when air transportation accounts for over 80% of total GTC.

Abstract

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), encompassing Urban Air Mobility (UAM) and Regional Air Mobility (RAM), offers innovative solutions to mitigate the issues related to ground transportation like traffic congestion, environmental pollution etc. RAM addresses transportation inefficiencies over medium-distance trips (50-500 miles), which are often underserved by both traditional air and ground transportation systems. This study focuses on RAM in Tennessee, addressing the complexities of demand modeling as a critical aspect of effective RAM implementation. Leveraging datasets from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), Internal Revenue Service (IRS), Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), and other sources, we assess trip data across Tennessee's Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) to develop a predictive framework for RAM demand. Through cost, time, and risk regression, we calculate a Generalized Travel Cost (GTC) that allows for comparative analysis between ground transportation and RAM, identifying factors that influence mode choice. When focusing on only five major airports (BNA, CHA, MEM, TRI, and TYS) as RAM hubs, the results reveal a mixed demand pattern due to varying travel distances to these central locations, which increases back-and-forth travel for some routes. However, by expanding the RAM network to include more regional airports, the GTC for RAM aligns more closely with traditional air travel, providing a smoother and more competitive option against ground transportation, particularly for trips exceeding 300 miles. The analysis shows that RAM demand is likely to be selected when air transportation accounts for more than 80\% of the total GTC, air travel time is more than 1 hour and when the ground GTC exceeds 300 for specific origin-destination pairs. The data and code can be accessed on GitHub. {https://github.com/lotussavy/AIAAScitecth-2025.git}