Dynamical large deviations of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
Alexander Valov, Baruch Meerson

TL;DR
This paper investigates the large deviation properties of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, revealing a complex phase diagram of optimal paths and scaling behaviors, supported by advanced simulations and applicable to other Gaussian processes.
Contribution
It provides the first detailed analysis of dynamical large deviations for the non-Markovian fOU process, including a phase diagram and novel simulation techniques.
Findings
Identified three distinct scaling regimes of the optimal paths.
Derived a phase diagram on the (H, n) plane for the process.
Validated theoretical predictions with high-precision large-deviation simulations.
Abstract
The fractional Ornstein-Uhleneck (fOU) process is described by the overdamped Langevin equation , where is the fractional Gaussian noise with the Hurst exponent . For the fOU process is non-Markovian but Gaussian, and it has either vanishing (for ), or divergent (for ) spectral density at zero frequency. For , the fOU is long-correlated. Here we study dynamical large deviations of the fOU process and focus on the area , over a long time window . Employing the optimal fluctuation method, we determine the optimal path of the conditioned process, which dominates the large- tail of the probability distribution of the area, . We uncover a nontrivial phase diagram of scaling behaviors of the optimal paths and of the…
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Fractional Differential Equations Solutions · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
