Do Observations Prefer Thawing Quintessence?
Guillaume Payeur, Evan McDonough, Robert Brandenberger

TL;DR
This study investigates whether recent DESI observations favor thawing quintessence over a cosmological constant, highlighting how prior choices influence the evidence for dynamic dark energy models.
Contribution
It demonstrates that the preference for thawing quintessence depends heavily on the priors used, emphasizing the importance of physically motivated priors in cosmological analyses.
Findings
Preference for thawing quintessence appears only with data-informed priors.
Physically motivated priors eliminate the evidence for thawing quintessence.
Results underscore the impact of prior selection on dark energy model conclusions.
Abstract
In light of recent observations by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), we study evidence for thawing quintessence over a cosmological constant as dark energy, with emphasis on the effect of the choice of priors. Working with a parametrization for the equation of state parameter motivated by the theory, we analyse the DESI BAO data jointly with Planck 2018 and Pantheon+ or Dark Energy Survey supernovae data, and find a preference for thawing quintessence compared to a bare cosmological constant only if we use priors which are heavily informed by the data itself. If we extend the priors to physically better motivated ranges, the evidence for thawing quintessence disappears.
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Taxonomy
TopicsScience and Climate Studies
