Sequential drone routing for data assimilation on a 2D airborne contaminant dispersion problem

TL;DR

This paper introduces a sequential drone routing method integrated with an ensemble Kalman filter to improve real-time contaminant dispersion modeling over a complex 2D domain, enhancing emergency response capabilities.

Contribution

It presents a novel framework combining adaptive drone path planning with data assimilation to iteratively refine dispersion models in emergency scenarios.

Findings

The framework improves contaminant concentration estimates over time.

Sequential observations significantly enhance model accuracy.

The method effectively balances exploration and exploitation in drone routing.

Abstract

The combined use of data from different sources can be critical in emergencies, where accurate models are needed to make real-time decisions, but high-fidelity representations and detailed information are simply unavailable. This study presents a data assimilation framework based on an ensemble Kalman filter that sequentially exploits and improves an advection-diffusion model in a case study concerning an airborne contaminant dispersion problem over a complex two-dimensional domain. An autonomous aerial drone is used to sequentially observe the actual contaminant concentration in a small fraction of the domain, orders of magnitude smaller than the total domain area. Such observations are synchronized with the data assimilation framework, iteratively adjusting the simulation. The path of the drone is sequentially optimized by balancing exploration and exploitation according to the available knowledge at each decision time. Starting from an erroneous initial model based on approximated assumptions that represent the limited initial knowledge available during emergency scenarios, results show how the proposed framework sequentially improves its belief about the dispersion dynamics, thus providing a reliable contaminant concentration map.