A simulation study on the sub-threshold joint gravitational wave-electromagnetic wave observation on binary neutron star mergers

TL;DR

This study explores how lowering detection thresholds for joint gravitational wave and electromagnetic observations of binary neutron star mergers can increase detection rates and improve cosmological measurements, using simulations of joint detections.

Contribution

It introduces a new metric for joint detection purity and analyzes the impact of threshold adjustments on detection rates and measurement precision through simulations.

Findings

Lowering detection thresholds increases joint detection rates by 5-13 detections per year.

Reducing the S/N threshold from 9.2 to about 8.5-8.8 enhances detection volume by 9-17%.

Sub-threshold joint detections improve the precision of Hubble constant and GW speed measurements.

Abstract

The coalescence of binary neutron stars (BNS) is a prolific source of gravitational waves (GWs) and electromagnetic (EM) radiation, offering a dual observational window into the Universe. Lowering the signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) threshold is a simple and cost-effective way to enhance the detection probability of GWs from BNS mergers. In this study, we introduce a metric of the purity of joint GW and EM detections $P_{\rm joint}$, which is in analogue to $P_{\rm astro}$ in GW only observations. By simulating BNS merger GWs jointly detected by the HLV network and EM counterparts (kilonovae and short Gamma-ray bursts, sGRBs) with an assumed merger rate density of BNS, we generate catalogs of GW events and EM counterparts. Through this simulation, we analyze joint detection pairs, both correct and misidentified. We find the following: 1. For kilonovae, requiring $P_{\rm joint}>$ 95\% instead of $P_{\rm astro}>95\%$ reduces the S/N from 9.2 to 8.5-8.8, allowing 5-13 additional joint detections per year and increasing the GW detection volume by 9-17\%; 2. For sGRBs, requiring $P_{\rm joint}>$ 95\% instead of $P_{\rm astro}$ reduces the S/N from 9.2 to 8.1-8.5; 3. Increasing kilonova or sGRB detection capability does not improve $P_{\rm joint}$ due to a higher rate of misidentifications. We also show that sub-threshold GW and kilonova detections can reduce the uncertainty in measuring the Hubble constant to 89-92\% of its original value, and sub-threshold GW and sGRB observations can enhance the precision of constraining the speed of GWs to 88\% of previously established values.