Unveiling the Potential of Graph Neural Networks in SME Credit Risk Assessment

TL;DR

This paper introduces a graph neural network-based model for enterprise credit risk assessment that leverages intrinsic financial indicator connections, demonstrating high accuracy and robustness on real data.

Contribution

It presents a novel GNN framework that constructs enterprise graphs from financial indicators and effectively predicts credit risk levels.

Findings

Model achieves high classification accuracy.

Graph structure captures intrinsic enterprise indicator relationships.

Model shows robustness across evaluation metrics.

Abstract

This paper takes the graph neural network as the technical framework, integrates the intrinsic connections between enterprise financial indicators, and proposes a model for enterprise credit risk assessment. The main research work includes: Firstly, based on the experience of predecessors, we selected 29 enterprise financial data indicators, abstracted each indicator as a vertex, deeply analyzed the relationships between the indicators, constructed a similarity matrix of indicators, and used the maximum spanning tree algorithm to achieve the graph structure mapping of enterprises; secondly, in the representation learning phase of the mapped graph, a graph neural network model was built to obtain its embedded representation. The feature vector of each node was expanded to 32 dimensions, and three GraphSAGE operations were performed on the graph, with the results pooled using the Pool operation, and the final output of three feature vectors was averaged to obtain the graph's embedded representation; finally, a classifier was constructed using a two-layer fully connected network to complete the prediction task. Experimental results on real enterprise data show that the model proposed in this paper can well complete the multi-level credit level estimation of enterprises. Furthermore, the tree-structured graph mapping deeply portrays the intrinsic connections of various indicator data of the company, and according to the ROC and other evaluation criteria, the model's classification effect is significant and has good "robustness".