A theory of generalised coordinates for stochastic differential equations
Lancelot Da Costa, Natha\"el Da Costa, Conor Heins, Johan Medrano,, Grigorios A. Pavliotis, Thomas Parr, Ajith Anil Meera, Karl Friston

TL;DR
This paper develops a mathematical framework using generalized coordinates to analyze and simulate non-Markovian stochastic differential equations, enabling more accurate and efficient solutions for complex, correlated noise-driven systems.
Contribution
It introduces a novel theory for representing non-Markovian SDEs as Markov processes in extended spaces, applicable to analytic flows and fluctuations, with practical computational methods.
Findings
Provides a pathwise analysis of SDEs for any noise realization
Enables accurate short-term and potentially exact global solutions for analytic cases
Re-derives advanced Bayesian filtering methods for time-series analysis
Abstract
Stochastic differential equations are ubiquitous modelling tools in physics and the sciences. In most modelling scenarios, random fluctuations driving dynamics or motion have some non-trivial temporal correlation structure, which renders the SDE non-Markovian; a phenomenon commonly known as ``colored'' noise. Thus, an important objective is to develop effective tools for mathematically and numerically studying (possibly non-Markovian) SDEs. In this report, we formalise a mathematical theory for analysing and numerically studying SDEs based on so-called `generalised coordinates of motion'. Like the theory of rough paths, we analyse SDEs pathwise for any given realisation of the noise, not solely probabilistically. Like the established theory of Markovian realisation, we realise non-Markovian SDEs as a Markov process in an extended space. Unlike the established theory of Markovian…
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Mathematical and Theoretical Analysis
