Kilonova emission from GW230529 and mass gap neutron star-black hole mergers

TL;DR

This paper investigates the kilonova emission potential from the GW230529 event, a possible mass gap neutron star-black hole merger, and predicts detection prospects for future similar events during LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA's O5 run.

Contribution

It analyzes the likelihood of kilonova production from GW230529 and simulates future event detection probabilities, highlighting the potential for electromagnetic counterparts in mass gap NSBH mergers.

Findings

GW230529 could have produced a detectable kilonova with 2-28% probability.

The probability of kilonova production in future mgNSBH mergers is 2-3% per event.

DECam-like instruments could detect up to 70% of future mgNSBH kilonovae.

Abstract

The detection of the gravitational wave event GW230529, presumably a neutron star-black hole (NSBH) merger, by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration marks an exciting discovery for multimessenger astronomy. The black hole (BH) has a high probability of falling within the "mass gap" (mg) between the neutron star (NS) and the BH mass distributions. Because of the relatively low primary mass, this system has a higher likelihood of producing an electromagnetic counterpart than previously detected NSBH mergers. We analyze the potential kilonova (KN) emission from GW230529 and find that, if the source was an NSBH merger, there is a $\sim $2-$28\%$ probability (depending on the assumed equation of state) that it produced a KN peaking at $\sim 1$ day post-merger with $g \lesssim 23.5$ and $i < 23$. Hence, it could have been detected by ground-based telescopes. If instead the event was a binary neutron star (BNS) merger, the probability of KN production drops to $\sim $0-$10\%$. Motivated by these results, we simulate a broader population of mgNSBH mergers expected during the fifth LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA observing run (O5) and find a $2$-$3\%$ chance of KN production per event. Such KNe would typically be fainter than GW230529, with $g \lesssim 26$ and $i \lesssim 25$. Based on these findings, DECam-like instruments may be able to detect up to $\sim 70\%$ of future mgNSBH KNe, corresponding to $1-2$ multimessenger mgNSBH per year in O5.