The limits of progress in the digital era

TL;DR

This paper discusses the inherent limits of progress in the digital era, emphasizing that technological knowledge, especially in software design, has intrinsic boundaries that must be acknowledged in our pursuit of progress.

Contribution

It highlights the conceptual and practical limits of technological knowledge, particularly in software design, and argues that progress should consider these inherent constraints.

Findings

Technological knowledge has intrinsic limits.

Progress is bounded by material and knowledge constraints.

Software design faces fundamental limitations in the digital era.

Abstract

The concept of progress clearly percolates the activities in science, technology, economy and society. It is a driving vector (probably the main vector) of our daily activity as researchers. The InThisGen initiative, proudly displayed in places across the University of Berkeley campus, and its headline lemma (what can we change in a single generation?) are clear exponents of the underlying assumption that progress is not only possible but also desirable. But about the concept of progress two major concerns arise. First of all, progress means some kind of going forward, that is a direction in a journey. But deciding the way in the route clearly implies that we are explicit or implicitly defining the goals, as individuals and as society. That is, the concept of progress has a set of underlying values. Additionally, the conceptual paradigm in scientific research (and probably in the whole spirit of our times) it is assuming some kind of endless progress. It is true that many technological innovations and their subsequent impact on society have found resistance, from Luddites to ecologist movements. But the last 150 years (the age of our university) have been witness of an enormous and general increase in knowledge, wealth and welfare, showing how progress can be sustained in the long-term and positively influence the human beings and the society. In this contribution will try to discuss these bounds, addressing the limits of materials, scientific knowledge and technological know-how. We will mainly focus on the limitations in technological knowledge in the software design, a key aspect of the digital era. Our main thesis, which will be addressed through the paper, is that there are intrinsic limits to technological knowledge and the concept of progress should take them into account.