Transport and mixing in control volumes through the lens of probability
John Craske, Paul Mannix

TL;DR
This paper develops a global probabilistic framework for analyzing transport and mixing in control volumes, emphasizing the role of boundary fluxes and internal mixing, with applications to uncertainty and energy considerations.
Contribution
It introduces a novel global integral approach to model the evolution of joint probability distributions in control volumes, incorporating boundary fluxes and internal mixing effects.
Findings
Derivation of a PDE for joint probability distribution evolution
Identification of conditions for negative semidefinite diffusion coefficients
Application to models involving uncertainty and energy in mixing processes
Abstract
A partial differential equation governing the global evolution of the joint probability distribution of an arbitrary number of local flow observations, drawn randomly from a control volume, is derived and applied to examples involving irreversible mixing. Unlike local probability density methods, this work adopts a global integral perspective by regarding a control volume as the sample space. Doing so enables the divergence theorem to be used to expose contributions made by uncertain or stochastic boundary fluxes and internal cross-gradient mixing in the equation governing the joint probability distribution's evolution. Advection and diffusion across the control volume's boundary result in source and drift terms, respectively, whereas internal mixing, in general, corresponds to the sign-indefinite diffusion of probability density. Several typical circumstances for which the…
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