Why long model-based rollouts are no reason for bad Q-value estimates
Philipp Wissmann, Daniel Hein, Steffen Udluft, Volker Tresp

TL;DR
This paper challenges the belief that long model-based rollouts lead to poor Q-value estimates, showing they can improve accuracy and effectiveness in offline reinforcement learning.
Contribution
It demonstrates that long model rollouts do not necessarily cause exponential errors and can outperform model-free methods in Q-value estimation.
Findings
Long rollouts do not always lead to exponential error growth.
Model-based methods can produce better Q-value estimates than model-free approaches.
Long rollouts can enhance reinforcement learning performance.
Abstract
This paper explores the use of model-based offline reinforcement learning with long model rollouts. While some literature criticizes this approach due to compounding errors, many practitioners have found success in real-world applications. The paper aims to demonstrate that long rollouts do not necessarily result in exponentially growing errors and can actually produce better Q-value estimates than model-free methods. These findings can potentially enhance reinforcement learning techniques.
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Taxonomy
TopicsMachine Learning in Healthcare · Meta-analysis and systematic reviews · Statistical Methods and Inference
