Herding Unmasked: Insights into Cryptocurrencies, Stocks and US ETFs

TL;DR

This study investigates herding behavior across stocks, US ETFs, and cryptocurrencies using recent data, revealing subset-level herding linked to specific events and contagion effects, with US ETFs playing a central role.

Contribution

First comprehensive analysis of herding across three investment types and at community levels, employing graph-based techniques to uncover subset-specific herding patterns.

Findings

Herding patterns are similar for stocks and US ETFs.

Herding exists at subset level, often triggered by specific events.

US ETFs propagate herding and act as trend drivers.

Abstract

Herding behavior has become a familiar phenomenon to investors, with potential dangers of both undervaluing and overvaluing assets, while also threatening market stability. This study contributes to the literature on herding behavior by using a recent dataset, covering the most impactful events of recent years. To our knowledge, this is the first study examining herding behavior across three different types of investment vehicle and also the first study observing herding at a community (subset) level. Specifically, we first explore this phenomenon in each separate type of investment vehicle, namely stocks, US ETFs and cryptocurrencies, using the Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation model. We find mostly similar herding patterns for stocks and US ETFs. Subsequently, the same experiment is implemented on a combination of all three investment vehicles. For a deeper investigation, we adopt graph-based techniques including the Minimum Spanning Tree and Louvain community detection to partition the combination into smaller subsets to detect herding behavior for each subset. We find that herding behavior exists at all times across all types of investment vehicle at a subset level, although perhaps not at the superset level, and that this herding behavior tends to stem from specific events that solely impact that subset of assets. Lastly, we explore herding by examining the financial contagion effects between these types of investment vehicle. Results show that US ETFs not only have a tendency to propagate similar trading behaviors in stocks and especially cryptocurrencies but also show self-reinforcing herding behavior, acting as drivers of their own trends.