AI and Social Theory

TL;DR

This paper proposes a framework for AI-driven social theory, highlighting current capabilities, limitations, and future research directions to enable AI to systematically advance understanding of social phenomena.

Contribution

It introduces a model for AI to test social theories using digital data and identifies key technical gaps like semanticization, transferability, and generativity.

Findings

AI models can synthesize knowledge and reason about social phenomena.

Current AI systems lack essential capabilities for advancing social theory.

Addressing identified gaps could enable AI to lead future social theory development.

Abstract

In this paper, we sketch a programme for AI driven social theory. We begin by defining what we mean by artificial intelligence (AI) in this context. We then lay out our model for how AI based models can draw on the growing availability of digital data to help test the validity of different social theories based on their predictive power. In doing so, we use the work of Randall Collins and his state breakdown model to exemplify that, already today, AI based models can help synthesize knowledge from a variety of sources, reason about the world, and apply what is known across a wide range of problems in a systematic way. However, we also find that AI driven social theory remains subject to a range of practical, technical, and epistemological limitations. Most critically, existing AI systems lack three essential capabilities needed to advance social theory in ways that are cumulative, holistic, open-ended, and purposeful. These are (1) semanticization, i.e., the ability to develop and operationalize verbal concepts to represent machine-manipulable knowledge, (2) transferability, i.e., the ability to transfer what has been learned in one context to another, and (3) generativity, i.e., the ability to independently create and improve on concepts and models. We argue that if the gaps identified here are addressed by further research, there is no reason why, in the future, the most advanced programme in social theory should not be led by AI-driven cumulative advances.