The fundamental martingale with applications to Markov Random Fields
Kevin Hu, Kavita Ramanan, William Salkeld

TL;DR
This paper develops a fundamental martingale for Gaussian processes in graph-indexed SDEs, enabling a Girsanov theorem and showing the law of these SDEs forms a 2-Markov Random Field, with applications to Markov Random Fields.
Contribution
It introduces a fundamental martingale for Gaussian processes in graph-structured SDEs and proves the law forms a 2-Markov Random Field, extending stochastic analysis tools.
Findings
Derived the fundamental martingale for Gaussian processes in graph SDEs.
Proved a Girsanov type theorem for these processes.
Showed the law of the SDEs forms a 2-Markov Random Field.
Abstract
We consider collections of SDEs indexed by a graph. Each SDE is driven by an additive Gaussian noise and each drift term interacts with all other SDEs within the graph neighbourhood. We derive the fundamental martingale for a class of Gaussian processes and use this to prove a Girsanov type theorem. Further, we use this to construct a clique factorisation to prove that the law of the interacting SDEs forms a 2-Markov Random Field.
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Taxonomy
TopicsInsurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
