Possible Causes of False General Relativity Violations in Gravitational Wave Observations

TL;DR

This paper identifies and discusses various potential sources of false signals that could mimic violations of general relativity in gravitational wave data, emphasizing the importance of careful analysis to avoid false positives.

Contribution

It provides a comprehensive list of possible causes for false GR violation signals in GW data and estimates their significance across different detector sensitivities.

Findings

Detector noise can mimic GR violations.

Data gaps and calibration errors can cause false positives.

Source modeling inaccuracies may lead to incorrect GR tests.

Abstract

General relativity (GR) has proven to be a highly successful theory of gravity since its inception. The theory has thrivingly passed numerous experimental tests, predominantly in weak gravity, low relative speeds, and linear regimes, but also in the strong-field and very low-speed regimes with binary pulsars. Observable gravitational waves (GWs) originate from regions of spacetime where gravity is extremely strong, making them a unique tool for testing GR, in previously inaccessible regions of large curvature, relativistic speeds, and strong gravity. Since their first detection, GWs have been extensively used to test GR, but no deviations have been found so far. Given GR's tremendous success in explaining current astronomical observations and laboratory experiments, accepting any deviation from it requires a very high level of statistical confidence and consistency of the deviation across GW sources. In this paper, we compile a comprehensive list of potential causes that can lead to a false identification of a GR violation in standard tests of GR on data from current and future ground-based GW detectors. These causes include detector noise, signal overlaps, gaps in the data, detector calibration, source model inaccuracy, missing physics in the source and in the underlying environment model, source misidentification, and mismodeling of the astrophysical population. We also provide a rough estimate of when each of these causes will become important for tests of GR for different detector sensitivities. We argue that each of these causes should be thoroughly investigated, quantified, and ruled out before claiming a GR violation in GW observations.