Accounting for the Effects of Probabilistic Uncertainty During Fast Charging of Lithium-ion Batteries

TL;DR

This paper develops a probabilistic framework using polynomial chaos expansion to analyze and optimize fast charging protocols for lithium-ion batteries under uncertain ambient temperature and model parameters, ensuring operational constraints are met with high probability.

Contribution

It introduces a non-intrusive uncertainty quantification method for battery models and demonstrates how to adjust charging protocols to account for uncertainties, improving safety and reliability.

Findings

Uncertainty in ambient temperature can cause constraint violations during fast charging.

Key parameters influencing fast charging are identified through sensitivity analysis.

Adjusted charging strategies reduce the probability of constraint violations under uncertainty.

Abstract

Batteries are nonlinear dynamical systems that can be modeled by Porous Electrode Theory models. The aim of optimal fast charging is to reduce the charging time while keeping battery degradation low. Most past studies assume that model parameters and ambient temperature are a fixed known value and that all PET model parameters are perfectly known. In real battery operation, however, the ambient temperature and the model parameters are uncertain. To ensure that operational constraints are satisfied at all times in the context of model-based optimal control, uncertainty quantification is required. Here, we analyze optimal fast charging for modest uncertainty in the ambient temperature and 23 model parameters. Uncertainty quantification of the battery model is carried out using non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion and the results are verified with Monte Carlo simulations. The method is investigated for a constant current--constant voltage charging strategy for a battery for which the strategy is known to be standard for fast charging subject to operating below maximum current and charging constraints. Our results demonstrate that uncertainty in ambient temperature results in violations of constraints on the voltage and temperature. Our results identify a subset of key parameters that contribute to fast charging among the overall uncertain parameters. Additionally, it is shown that the constraints represented by voltage, temperature, and lithium-plating overpotential are violated due to uncertainties in the ambient temperature and parameters. The C-rate and charge constraints are then adjusted so that the probability of violating the degradation acceleration condition is below a pre-specified value. This approach demonstrates a computationally efficient approach for determining fast-charging protocols that take probabilistic uncertainties into account.