Contribution of PRIDE VLBI products to the joint JUICE-Europa Clipper moons' ephemerides solution

TL;DR

This paper evaluates how PRIDE VLBI observations from JUICE and Europa Clipper can enhance the accuracy of Galilean moons' ephemerides, especially at flyby times, aiding long-term dynamical modeling.

Contribution

It demonstrates the limited global improvement but significant local benefits of VLBI for moons' state estimation and proposes a validation plan for the classical radio-science solution.

Findings

VLBI improves local moon state estimates at flybys.

Dual-spacecraft VLBI offers additional validation opportunities.

VLBI contributes to more accurate long-term moon dynamics modeling.

Abstract

In the coming decade, JUICE and Europa Clipper radio-science will yield the most accurate estimation to date of the Galilean moons' physical parameters and ephemerides. JUICE's PRIDE (Planetary Radio Interferometry and Doppler Experiment) will help achieve such a solution by providing VLBI (Very Long Baseline Interferometry) observations of the spacecraft's lateral position, complementing nominal radio-science measurements. We quantify how PRIDE VLBI can contribute to the moons' ephemerides determination, in terms of attainable solution improvement and validation opportunities. To this end, we simulated both single- and dual-spacecraft VLBI, exploiting the potential simultaneous tracking of JUICE and Europa Clipper. We considered various tracking and data quality scenarios, and compared the formal uncertainties obtained with and without VLBI. This was performed for both global and local (i.e., per-flyby) estimations of the moons' states, as achieving a global solution first requires proceeding arc-per-arc. We showed that both single- and dual-spacecraft VLBI only bring limited improvement to the global state estimation, but significantly contribute to the moons' normal points (i.e., local states at flyby times), most notably in the out-of-plane direction. Additionally, we designed a validation plan exploiting PRIDE VLBI to progressively validate the classical radio-science solution. By improving the local state estimations and offering various validation opportunities, PRIDE will be invaluable in overcoming possible dynamical modelling challenges. It can therefore play a key role in reconstructing a global solution for the Galilean moons' dynamics with the uncertainty levels promised by JUICE-Europa Clipper analyses. This, in turn, is critical to the accurate characterisation of tidal dissipation in the Jovian system, holding the key to the long-term evolution of the Galilean moons.