Persistent and anti-Persistent Motion in Bounded and Unbounded Space: Resolution of the First-Passage Problem
Daniel Marris, Luca Giuggioli

TL;DR
This paper extends renewal theory to analyze the first-passage properties of correlated random walks in bounded and unbounded spaces, revealing how persistence affects hitting probabilities and distribution shapes.
Contribution
It introduces a discrete formalism for correlated random walks, including directional first-passage, in arbitrary dimensions and applies it to biological cell movement near surfaces.
Findings
Multi-modality in first-passage distribution with strong persistence and reflection.
Reversal of movement direction influences first-passage statistics.
The formalism applies to various lattice types and dimensions.
Abstract
The presence of temporal correlations in random movement trajectories is a widespread phenomenon across biological, chemical and physical systems. The ubiquity of persistent and anti-persistent motion in many natural and synthetic systems has led to a large literature on the modelling of temporally correlated movement paths. Despite the substantial body of work, little progress has been made to determine the dynamical properties of various transport related quantities, including the first-passage or first-hitting probability to one or multiple absorbing targets when space is bounded. To bridge this knowledge gap we generalise the renewal theory of first-passage and splitting probabilities to correlated discrete variables. We do so in arbitrary dimensions on a lattice for the so-called correlated or persistent random walk, the one step non-Markovian extension of the simple lattice random…
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