A Novel Stratified Analysis Method for Testing and Estimating Overall Treatment Effects on Time-to-Event Outcomes Using Average Hazard with Survival Weight

TL;DR

This paper introduces a new stratified analysis method for estimating treatment effects on time-to-event outcomes using average hazard with survival weight, addressing limitations of traditional methods and allowing for effect size reporting.

Contribution

It proposes a novel stratified analysis approach based on standardization for the average hazard, improving adjustment for stratification factors in time-to-event data.

Findings

The method effectively adjusts for stratification factors.

It provides both absolute and relative treatment effect estimates.

It offers an alternative to the stratified Cox model.

Abstract

Given the limitations of using the Cox hazard ratio to summarize the magnitude of the treatment effect, alternative measures that do not have these limitations are gaining attention. One of the recently proposed alternative methods uses the average hazard with survival weight (AH). This population quantity can be interpreted as the average intensity of the event occurrence in a given time window that does not involve study-specific censoring. Inference procedures for the ratio of AH and difference in AH have already been proposed in simple randomized controlled trial settings to compare two groups. However, methods with stratification factors have not been well discussed, although stratified analysis is often used in practice to adjust for confounding factors and increase the power to detect a between-group difference. The conventional stratified analysis or meta-analysis approach, which integrates stratum-specific treatment effects using an optimal weight, directly applies to the ratio of AH and difference in AH. However, this conventional approach has significant limitations similar to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel method for a binary outcome and the stratified Cox procedure for a time-to-event outcome. To address this, we propose a new stratified analysis method for AH using standardization. With the proposed method, one can summarize the between-group treatment effect in both absolute difference and relative terms, adjusting for stratification factors. This can be a valuable alternative to the traditional stratified Cox procedure to estimate and report the magnitude of the treatment effect on time-to-event outcomes using hazard.