Firm-Dispatchable Power and its Requirement in a Power System based on Variable Generation

TL;DR

This paper defines the concept of firm-dispatchable power in renewable-heavy power systems and quantifies its capacity requirements across different regions, emphasizing its critical role in ensuring system reliability.

Contribution

It provides a clear definition of firm-dispatchable power and quantifies its capacity needs in 100% renewable scenarios across multiple regions.

Findings

Firm-dispatchable capacity is essential to replace renewable generation.

Required capacity is consistent across different locations and demand profiles.

Storage use does not significantly affect the capacity requirement.

Abstract

Many countries have commenced a transition from fossil fuel-based electricity generation systems to sustainable systems based on wind and solar generation. It is often noted that the least cost approach would involve a massive scale-up in the building of variable renewables, supported by battery storage and gas peaking plants. The required backup should be firm-dispatchable generation rather than peaking power. The wind and solar generation aspects for this system are clearly defined and understood, however, the term firm-dispatchable power is not defined and the specific requirements are poorly understood. This study seeks to define firm-dispatchable power in this context and its requirement in the sustainable generation system. The study compares 100% renewable generation scenarios from South Africa, Texas, and the UK to demonstrate the requirement for this firm-dispatchable generation. The results indicate that firm-dispatchable generation must be available to replace the renewable generation completely. The required installed capacity for this firm-dispatchable generation does not vary with the distinct demand profiles of the different locations or their comparative renewable generation profiles. It also does not change significantly with the use of energy storage. The usage for this firm-dispatchable generation will vary due to the comparative economics of its use, but the requirement for its installation does not change.