Asteroids co-orbital motion classification based on Machine Learning

TL;DR

This paper presents a machine learning approach to classify asteroid co-orbital motions, using time series analysis and feature extraction to achieve high classification accuracy with interpretable features.

Contribution

It introduces a novel pipeline combining time series feature extraction, machine learning, and explainability techniques for classifying asteroid co-orbital motions.

Findings

High classification accuracy achieved across datasets.

Features extracted are physically interpretable.

Method effective in different dynamical conditions.

Abstract

In this work, we explore how to classify asteroids in co-orbital motion with a given planet using Machine Learning. We consider four different kinds of motion in mean motion resonance with the planet, nominally Tadpole, Horseshoe and Quasi-satellite, building 3 datasets defined as Real (taking the ephemerides of real asteroids from the JPL Horizons system), Ideal and Perturbed (both simulated, obtained by propagating initial conditions considering two different dynamical systems) for training and testing the Machine Learning algorithms in different conditions. The time series of the variable theta (angle related to the resonance) are studied with a data analysis pipeline defined ad hoc for the problem and composed by: data creation and annotation, time series features extraction thanks to the tsfresh package (potentially followed by selection and standardization) and the application of Machine Learning algorithms for Dimensionality Reduction and Classification. Such approach, based on features extracted from the time series, allows to work with a smaller number of data with respect to Deep Learning algorithms, also allowing to define a ranking of the importance of the features. Physical Interpretability of the features is another key point of this approach. In addition, we introduce the SHapley Additive exPlanations for Explainability technique. Different training and test sets are used, in order to understand the power and the limits of our approach. The results show how the algorithms are able to identify and classify correctly the time series, with a high degree of performance.