Experience and Prediction: A Metric of Hardness for a Novel Litmus Test

TL;DR

This paper introduces a machine learning-based system to accurately and efficiently predict the perceived difficulty of Winograd schemas, enhancing the ability to differentiate schemas based on human-like hardness levels.

Contribution

The paper presents a novel ML system using random forest and deep learning approaches to assess Winograd schema hardness more accurately and rapidly than previous methods.

Findings

The ML system outperforms earlier approaches in accuracy and speed.

Human performance varies significantly across different schemas.

Large-scale experiments reveal patterns in schema difficulty.

Abstract

In the last decade, the Winograd Schema Challenge (WSC) has become a central aspect of the research community as a novel litmus test. Consequently, the WSC has spurred research interest because it can be seen as the means to understand human behavior. In this regard, the development of new techniques has made possible the usage of Winograd schemas in various fields, such as the design of novel forms of CAPTCHAs. Work from the literature that established a baseline for human adult performance on the WSC has shown that not all schemas are the same, meaning that they could potentially be categorized according to their perceived hardness for humans. In this regard, this \textit{hardness-metric} could be used in future challenges or in the WSC CAPTCHA service to differentiate between Winograd schemas. Recent work of ours has shown that this could be achieved via the design of an automated system that is able to output the hardness-indexes of Winograd schemas, albeit with limitations regarding the number of schemas it could be applied on. This paper adds to previous research by presenting a new system that is based on Machine Learning (ML), able to output the hardness of any Winograd schema faster and more accurately than any other previously used method. Our developed system, which works within two different approaches, namely the random forest and deep learning (LSTM-based), is ready to be used as an extension of any other system that aims to differentiate between Winograd schemas, according to their perceived hardness for humans. At the same time, along with our developed system we extend previous work by presenting the results of a large-scale experiment that shows how human performance varies across Winograd schemas.