Categorical data analysis using discretization of continuous variables to investigate associations in marine ecosystems

TL;DR

This paper introduces a two-step categorical data analysis method that discretizes continuous variables to explore associations in marine ecosystems, addressing challenges of sparse and short time series data.

Contribution

It proposes a novel approach combining threshold-based discretization and model selection for analyzing presence/absence and real-valued data in marine ecological studies.

Findings

Validated through simulation studies.

Applied to Antarctic krill and whale data revealing ecological associations.

Analyzed Arctic fish and prey relationships with successful results.

Abstract

Understanding and predicting interactions between predators and prey and their environment are fundamental for understanding food web structure, dynamics, and ecosystem function in both terrestrial and marine ecosystems.Thus, estimating the conditional associations between species and their environments is important for exploring connections or cooperative links in the ecosystem, which in turn can help to clarify such causal relationships. For this purpose, a relevant and practical statistical method is required to link presence/absence observations with biomass, abundance, and physical quantities obtained as continuous real values.These data are sometimes sparse in oceanic space and too short as time series data. To meet this challenge, we provide an approach based on applying categorical data analysis to present/absent observations and real-number data.This approach consists of a two-step procedure for categorical data analysis:1) finding the appropriate threshold to discretize the real-number data for applying an independent test;and 2) identifying the best conditional probability model to investigate the possible associations among the data based on a statistical information criterion.We conduct a simulation study to validate our proposed approach. Furthermore, the approach is applied to two datasets: 1) one collected during an international synoptic krill survey in the Scotia Sea west of the Antarctic Peninsula to investigate associations among krill, fin whale (Balaenoptera physalus),surface temperature, depth, slope in depth, and temperature gradient; 2) the other collected by ecosystem surveys conducted during August-September in 2014 - 2017 to investigate associations among common minke whales, the predatory fish Atlantic cod, and their main prey groups in Arctic Ocean waters to the west and north of Svalbard, Norway.