Beyond expectations: Residual Dynamic Mode Decomposition and Variance for Stochastic Dynamical Systems
Matthew J. Colbrook, Qin Li, Ryan V. Raut, Alex Townsend

TL;DR
This paper extends Dynamic Mode Decomposition to stochastic systems by incorporating variance, enabling verified spectral analysis and revealing new physiological insights from neural data.
Contribution
It introduces variance into the Koopman framework and develops variance-pseudospectra for stochastic systems, addressing verification challenges in spectral analysis.
Findings
Verified spectral properties of stochastic Koopman operators achieved.
Variance-pseudospectra reveal physiologically relevant information.
Convergence results support the robustness of the proposed methods.
Abstract
Koopman operators linearize nonlinear dynamical systems, making their spectral information of crucial interest. Numerous algorithms have been developed to approximate these spectral properties, and Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) stands out as the poster child of projection-based methods. Although the Koopman operator itself is linear, the fact that it acts in an infinite-dimensional space of observables poses challenges. These include spurious modes, essential spectra, and the verification of Koopman mode decompositions. While recent work has addressed these challenges for deterministic systems, there remains a notable gap in verified DMD methods for stochastic systems, where the Koopman operator measures the expectation of observables. We show that it is necessary to go beyond expectations to address these issues. By incorporating variance into the Koopman framework, we address these…
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Taxonomy
TopicsModel Reduction and Neural Networks · Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design
