Bayesian inference from gravitational waves in fast-rotating, core-collapse supernovae

TL;DR

This paper demonstrates that Bayesian inference can accurately estimate key properties of rapidly rotating core-collapse supernovae from gravitational wave signals, using a simplified waveform model and Bayesian analysis.

Contribution

It introduces a Bayesian inference method using a simple waveform template to extract supernova parameters from gravitational wave data, based on relations between waveform features and physical properties.

Findings

Peak frequency and amplitude can be recovered with better than 10% accuracy for most signals.

The method is effective for galactic events with known distance and inclination.

Inference reliability decreases for waveforms outside the existing simulation catalog.

Abstract

Core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe) are prime candidates for gravitational-wave detectors. The analysis of their complex waveforms can potentially provide information on the physical processes operating during the collapse of the iron cores of massive stars. In this work we analyze the early-bounce rapidly rotating CCSN signals reported in the waveform catalog of Richers et al 2017, which comprises over 1800 axisymmetric simulations extending up to about 10~ms of post-bounce evolution. It was previously established that for a large range of progenitors, the amplitude of the bounce signal, $\Delta h$, is proportional to the ratio of rotational-kinetic energy to potential energy, T/|W|, and the peak frequency, $f_{\rm peak}$, is proportional to the square root of the central rest-mass density. In this work, we exploit these relations to suggest that it could be possible to use such waveforms to infer protoneutron star properties from a future gravitational wave observation, if the distance and inclination are well known. Our approach relies on the ability to describe a subset of the waveforms in the early post-bounce phase in a simple form depending only on two parameters, $\Delta h$ and $f_{\rm peak}$. We use this template to perform a Bayesian inference analysis of waveform injections in Gaussian colored noise for a network of three gravitational wave detectors formed by Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo. We show that, for a galactic event, it is possible to recover the peak frequency and amplitude with an accuracy better than 10% for about 80% and 60% of the signals, respectively, given known distance and inclination angle. However, inference on waveforms from outside the Richers catalog is not reliable, indicating a need for carefully verified waveforms of the first 10 ms after bounce of rapidly rotating supernovae of different progenitors with agreement between different codes.