The Robust Orlicz Risk with an Application to the Green Photovoltaic Power Generation
H. Yoshioka, M. Tsujimura

TL;DR
This paper introduces a robust Orlicz risk framework for controlling stochastic processes, applied to photovoltaic power generation for green hydrogen, with novel equations and computational validation under various conditions.
Contribution
It develops a new recursive utility using a robust Orlicz risk and derives a novel Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation for photovoltaic control.
Findings
Method effectively models risk and uncertainty in PV systems.
Computational examples demonstrate adaptability under different conditions.
Framework supports green hydrogen production optimization.
Abstract
We propose a novel recursive utility for controlling stochastic processes under risk and uncertainty. Our formulation uses a robustified Orlicz risk that can evaluate risk and uncertainty simultaneously. We focus on a control problem of a photovoltaic power generation system that supplies excess electricity to a secondary purpose for generating green hydrogen. The corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation having a novel nonlinear term is then derived. Computational examples with the available data are finally presented, demonstrating that our methodology can be used for the photovoltaic power generation under different meteorological and operational conditions.
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Taxonomy
TopicsRisk and Portfolio Optimization · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design
MethodsFocus
