Astrometric mass measurement of compact companions in binary systems with Gaia
Yilun Wang, Shilong Liao, Nicola Giacobbo, Aleksandra Olejak, Jian, Gao, and Jifeng Liu

TL;DR
This paper develops a method to predict Gaia's ability to measure the masses of black hole and neutron star companions in binary systems, estimating the number of such systems Gaia can solve during its mission.
Contribution
It introduces a quantitative relation between mass measurement uncertainty and binary parameters, and estimates the number of solvable BH/NS-LCs using Gaia data and simulations.
Findings
Approximately 48 black hole and 102 neutron star systems are solvable by Gaia within 5 years.
Derived a relation linking mass uncertainty to orbital parameters like period, inclination, and eccentricity.
Provided distributions of distance and apparent magnitude for Gaia-solvable BH/NS-LCs.
Abstract
For binary systems with an unseen primary and a luminous secondary, the astrometric wobble of the secondary could be used to study the primary. With Gaia, it is possible to measure the mass of the black hole or neutron star with a luminous companion (hereafter BH/NS-LC). Our aim is to provide a method for predicting Gaia's ability in measuring the mass of BH/NS-LCs. We also tried to estimate the number of solvable BH/NS-LCs using Gaia. We used a realistic Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation of mock Gaia observations to obtain a relation between the uncertainty of mass measurement of the primary in BH/NS-LCs with the observable variables of the secondary astrometric orbit. Furthermore, we used the MOBSE code to evolve a Galactic BH/NS-LC sample with a combined Milky Way model. Our relation is applied to this sample to estimate the number of solvable BH/NS-LCs. We derived a good relation…
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