Predicting a noisy signal: the costs and benefits of time averaging as a noise mitigation strategy
Jenny Poulton, Age Tjalma, Lotte Slim, Pieter Rein ten Wolde

TL;DR
This paper investigates how cells can optimally predict noisy, time-varying signals under resource constraints by extending the information bottleneck method, revealing a trade-off between noise reduction and dynamical accuracy.
Contribution
It introduces an extended information bottleneck framework for signal prediction with compression constraints, deriving the optimal kernel and analyzing the impact of resource limitations.
Findings
Optimal integration kernel reduces to Wiener filter without constraints
Existence of an optimal integration time balancing noise and dynamical error
Push-pull network behavior aligns with theoretical predictions under noise and compression
Abstract
One major challenge for living cells is the measurement and prediction of signals corrupted by noise. In general, cells need to make decisions based on their compressed representation of noisy, time-varying signals. Strategies for signal noise mitigation are often tackled using Wiener filtering theory, but this theory cannot account for systems that have limited resources and hence must compress the signal. To study how accurately linear systems can predict noisy, time-varying signals in the presence of a compression constraint, we extend the information bottleneck method. We show that the optimal integration kernel reduces to the Wiener filter in the absence of a compression constraint. This kernel combines a delta function at short times and an exponential function that decays on a timescale that sets the integration time. Moreover, there exists an optimal integration time, which…
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Taxonomy
TopicsGene Regulatory Network Analysis · Advanced Fluorescence Microscopy Techniques · Neural dynamics and brain function
