Discovery and physical characterization as the first response to a potential asteroid collision: The case of 2023 DZ2

TL;DR

This study demonstrates a rapid, multi-method approach to physically and dynamically characterize near-Earth asteroid 2023 DZ2, assessing its impact threat and confirming it will not impact Earth despite its close orbit.

Contribution

The paper introduces a comprehensive, rapid-response methodology combining observational and computational techniques for threat assessment of potential impactors.

Findings

2023 DZ2 has an X-type asteroid spectrum.

It has a rotation period of approximately 6.27 minutes.

It will not impact Earth due to secular near-resonant behavior.

Abstract

Near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) that may evolve into impactors deserve detailed threat assessment studies. Early physical characterization of a would-be impactor may help in optimizing impact mitigation plans. We first detected NEA 2023~DZ$_{2}$ on 27--February--2023. After that, it was found to have a Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance (MOID) with Earth of 0.00005~au as well as an unusually high initial probability of becoming a near-term (in 2026) impactor. We aim to perform a rapid but consistent dynamical and physical characterization of 2023~DZ$_{2}$ as an example of a key response to mitigate the consequences of a potential impact. We use a multi-pronged approach, drawing from various methods (observational/computational) and techniques (spectroscopy/photometry from multiple instruments), and bringing the data together to perform a rapid and robust threat assessment.} The visible reflectance spectrum of 2023~DZ$_{2}$ is consistent with that of an X-type asteroid. Light curves of this object obtained on two different nights give a rotation period $P$=6.2743$\pm$0.0005 min with an amplitude $A$=0.57$\pm$0.14~mag. We confirm that although its MOID is among the smallest known, 2023~DZ$_{2}$ will not impact Earth in the foreseeable future as a result of secular near-resonant behaviour. Our investigation shows that coordinated observation and interpretation of disparate data provides a robust approach from discovery to threat assessment when a virtual impactor is identified. We prove that critical information can be obtained within a few days after the announcement of the potential impactor.