Variational Information Pursuit for Interpretable Predictions

TL;DR

This paper introduces Variational Information Pursuit (V-IP), a new method for interpretable prediction that avoids complex generative models by directly optimizing query strategies with deep networks, achieving faster and more efficient decision chains.

Contribution

V-IP provides a variational framework for interpretable sequential decision-making that bypasses generative models, enabling end-to-end training of query strategies and classifiers.

Findings

V-IP is 10-100x faster than traditional IP.

V-IP produces shorter query chains than reinforcement learning.

V-IP achieves superior performance in medical diagnosis tasks.

Abstract

There is a growing interest in the machine learning community in developing predictive algorithms that are "interpretable by design". Towards this end, recent work proposes to make interpretable decisions by sequentially asking interpretable queries about data until a prediction can be made with high confidence based on the answers obtained (the history). To promote short query-answer chains, a greedy procedure called Information Pursuit (IP) is used, which adaptively chooses queries in order of information gain. Generative models are employed to learn the distribution of query-answers and labels, which is in turn used to estimate the most informative query. However, learning and inference with a full generative model of the data is often intractable for complex tasks. In this work, we propose Variational Information Pursuit (V-IP), a variational characterization of IP which bypasses the need for learning generative models. V-IP is based on finding a query selection strategy and a classifier that minimizes the expected cross-entropy between true and predicted labels. We then demonstrate that the IP strategy is the optimal solution to this problem. Therefore, instead of learning generative models, we can use our optimal strategy to directly pick the most informative query given any history. We then develop a practical algorithm by defining a finite-dimensional parameterization of our strategy and classifier using deep networks and train them end-to-end using our objective. Empirically, V-IP is 10-100x faster than IP on different Vision and NLP tasks with competitive performance. Moreover, V-IP finds much shorter query chains when compared to reinforcement learning which is typically used in sequential-decision-making problems. Finally, we demonstrate the utility of V-IP on challenging tasks like medical diagnosis where the performance is far superior to the generative modelling approach.