Quantify how space mission influence geopolitical dynamics? A security and social policy approach
Andrea Russo, Davide Coco

TL;DR
This paper introduces a computational method to assess the geopolitical impact of space missions by analyzing budgets, social sentiment, and reliability data, revealing potential positive or negative effects on national interests.
Contribution
It presents a novel equation that quantifies space mission impacts on geopolitics, integrating social sentiment and security considerations for policy and decision-making.
Findings
Successful missions can still negatively affect international relations.
The proposed model estimates public opinion and geopolitical risks.
Space mission outcomes influence national security and social policies.
Abstract
We present a computational method to quantify the geopolitical impact of a space mission, based on the national budget and data logs of previous missions, and evidencing how even if some missions succeed, they can bring negative effects to the sponsored country. The objective of this research is to study how the success (or failure) of a space mission can bring an economical and political benefit (or loss) to a country. By retrieving various data, including sentiment from #hashtags related to the considered space missions, national budgets for space exploration, and the reliability of space launch systems, from social networks, public institutions, and online repositories, we propose an equation to evaluate the geopolitical importance of a space mission for a particular country or space agency. The geopolitical equation can be used by public institutions or private companies to estimate…
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Taxonomy
TopicsSpace exploration and regulation · Economic and Technological Innovation
