An improved Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment of Tripura, India

TL;DR

This study provides an improved probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Tripura, India, using layered sources and data-driven ground motion models, resulting in more accurate hazard maps for earthquake-resistant design.

Contribution

It introduces a layered seismogenic source model and a data-driven GMPE selection process, enhancing the accuracy of seismic hazard estimates in Tripura.

Findings

Significant improvement over previous hazard maps.

High-resolution hazard distribution at 0.05° grid.

Useful for earthquake-resistant structural design.

Abstract

The State of Tripura lies in northeast India which is considered to be one of the most seismically active regions of the world. In the present study, a realistic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) of Tripura State based on improved seismogenic sources considering layered polygonal sources corresponding to hypo-central depth range of 0 to 25 km, 25 to 70 km and 70 to 180 km, respectively and data driven selection of suitable Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) in a logic tree framework is presented. Analyses have been carried out by formulating a layered seismogenic source zonation together with smooth-gridded seismicity. Using the limited accelerogram records available, most suitable GMPEs have been selected after performing a thorough quantitative assessment and thus the uncertainty in selecting appropriate GMPEs in PSHA has been addressed by combining them with proper weight factor. The computations of seismic hazard are carried out in a higher resolution of grid interval of 0.05 $\degree$ X 0.05 $\degree$. The probabilistic seismic hazard distribution in terms of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and 5% damped Pseudo Spectral Acceleration (PSA) at different time periods for 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years at engineering bedrock level have been presented. The final results show significant improvements over the previous studies, which is reflecetd in the local variation of the hazard maps. The design response spectra at engineering bedrock level can be computed for any location in the study region from the hazard distributions. The results will be useful for earthquake resistant design and construction of structures in this region.