Space Weather: From Solar Origins to Risks and Hazards Evolving in Time

TL;DR

This review paper provides a comprehensive overview of space weather, tracing its origins from solar activity to its impacts on Earth and human technology, emphasizing evolving risks and forecasting challenges.

Contribution

It offers an integrated view of space weather processes, their effects, and the changing risks over time, highlighting recent challenges in forecasting extreme events.

Findings

Space Weather impacts include geomagnetic storms, GICs, and satellite drag.

Risks have increased with technological advancements.

Forecasting challenges remain significant for extreme events.

Abstract

Space Weather is the portion of space physics that has a direct effect on humankind. Space Weather is an old branch of space physics that originates back to 1808 with the publication of a paper by the great naturalist Alexander von Humboldt (von Humboldt, 1808). Space Weather is currently experiencing explosive growth, because its effects on human technologies have become more and more diverse. Space Weather is due to the variability of solar processes that cause interplanetary, magnetospheric, ionospheric, atmospheric and ground level effects. Space Weather can at times have strong impacts on technological systems and human health. The threats and risks are not hypothetical, and in the event of extreme Space Weather events the consequences could be quite severe for humankind. The purpose of the review is to give a brief overall view of the full chain of physical processes responsible for Space Weather risks and hazards, tracing them from solar origins to effects and impacts in interplanetary space, in the Earth's magnetosphere and ionosphere and at the ground. The paper shows that the risks associated with Space Weather have not been constant over time; they have evolved as our society becomes more and more technologically advanced. The paper begins with a brief introduction to the Carrington event. Next, the descriptions of the strongest known Space Weather processes are reviewed. The concepts of geomagnetic storms and substorms are briefly introduced. The main effects/impacts of Space Weather are also considered, including geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) which are thought to cause power outages. The effects of radiation on avionics and human health, ionospheric effects and impacts, and thermosphere effects and satellite drag will also be discussed. Finally, we will discuss the current challenges of Space Weather forecasting and examine some of the worst-case scenarios.