Epistemological Equation for Analysing Uncontrollable States in Complex Systems: Quantifying Cyber Risks from the Internet of Things
Petar Radanliev, David De Roure, Pete Burnap, Omar Santos

TL;DR
This paper introduces an epistemological equation to quantitatively assess uncontrollable cyber risk states in complex IoT systems, aiding self-assessment of cyber risk posture.
Contribution
It presents a novel epistemological analysis method specifically designed for quantifying uncontrollable risks in complex IoT environments.
Findings
Effective in analyzing national digital strategies
Enables quantitative self-assessment of IoT cyber risks
Validated through comparative and empirical analysis
Abstract
To enable quantitative risk assessment of uncontrollable risk states in complex and coupled IoT systems, a new epistemological equation is designed and tested though comparative and empirical analysis. The comparative analysis is conducted on national digital strategies, followed by an empirical analysis of cyber risk assessment approaches. The new epistemological analysis approach enables the assessment of uncontrollable risk states in complex IoT systems, which begin to resemble artificial intelligence, and can be used for a quantitative self-assessment of IoT cyber risk posture.
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