On regression and classification with possibly missing response variables in the data

TL;DR

This paper develops a kernel regression and classification framework for data with possibly missing responses, addressing unknown missing mechanisms, and provides theoretical guarantees for the estimators' performance.

Contribution

It introduces a novel two-step approach for handling missing response variables in kernel methods, with theoretical analysis and performance bounds.

Findings

Derived exponential bounds on estimator deviations in Lp norms.

Established strong convergence results for the proposed estimators.

Extended the methodology to classification and other local-averaging methods.

Abstract

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and the response variables. Our proposed approach involves two steps: In the first step, we construct a family of models (possibly infinite dimensional) indexed by the unknown parameter of the missing probability mechanism. In the second step, a search is carried out to find the empirically optimal member of an appropriate cover (or subclass) of the underlying family in the sense of minimizing the mean squared prediction error. The main focus of the paper is to look into the theoretical properties of these estimators. The issue of identifiability is also addressed. Our methods use a data-splitting approach which is quite easy to implement. We also derive exponential bounds on the performance of the resulting estimators in terms of their deviations from the true regression curve in general Lp norms, where we also allow the size of the cover or subclass to diverge as the sample size n increases. These bounds immediately yield various strong convergence results for the proposed estimators. As an application of our findings, we consider the problem of statistical classification based on the proposed regression estimators and also look into their rates of convergence under different settings. Although this work is mainly stated for kernel-type estimators, they can also be extended to other popular local-averaging methods such as nearest-neighbor estimators, and histogram estimators.