Geo-Spatial Cluster based Hybrid Spatio-Temporal Copula Interpolation

TL;DR

This paper introduces a hybrid spatio-temporal interpolation method using hierarchical clustering, copulas, and neural networks to accurately model air pollution data in Delhi, capturing complex dependencies without Gaussian assumptions.

Contribution

It presents a novel hybrid interpolation algorithm combining hierarchical clustering, copula models, and deep learning for spatio-temporal data, specifically applied to air pollution.

Findings

The method effectively captures spatial and temporal dependencies in pollution data.

PM concentrations peak in November and December in Delhi.

Northern and central Delhi are most affected by air pollution.

Abstract

In the absence of Gaussianity assumptions without disturbing spatial continuity interpolating along the whole spatial surface for different time lags is challenging. The past researchers pay enough attention to Spatio-temporal interpolation ignoring the dynamic behavior of a spatial mean function, threshold distance, and direction of maintaining spatial continuity. Therefore, we employ hierarchical spatial clustering (HSC) to preserve local spatial stationarity. This research work introduces a hybrid extreme valued copula-based Spatio-temporal interpolation algorithm. Spatial dependence is captured by a blended extreme valued probability distribution (BEVD). Temporal dependency is modeled by the Bi-directional long short-time memory (BLSTM) at different temporal granularities, 1 month, 2 months, and 3 months. Spatio-temporal dependence is modeled by the Gumbel-Hougaard copula (GH). We apply the proposed Spatio-temporal interpolation approach to the air pollution data (Outdoor Particulate Matter (PM) concentration) of Delhi, collected from the website of the Central Pollution Control Board, India as a crucial circumstantial study. This article describes a probabilistic-recurrent neural networking algorithm for Spatio-temporal interpolation. This Spatio-temporal hybrid copula interpolation algorithm outperforms and is efficient enough to detect spatial trends and temporal influence. From the entire research, we notice that PM concentration in a year reaches a maximum, generally in November and December. The northern and central part of Del-hi is the most sensitive regarding air pollution.