Bayesian Detection of a Sinusoidal Signal with Randomly Varying Frequency
Changrong Liu, S. Suvorova, R. J. Evans, B. Moran, A. Melatos

TL;DR
This paper introduces a Bayesian method using Markov Chain Monte Carlo to detect sinusoidal signals with varying frequency, outperforming traditional Hidden Markov Model techniques in detection rate.
Contribution
The paper presents a novel Bayesian detection approach with MCMC for signals with random frequency variation, improving detection performance over existing methods.
Findings
Up to 25% higher detection rate than HMM-based solutions
Effective in applications like underwater acoustics and gravitational wave astronomy
Demonstrated via simulation studies
Abstract
The problem of detecting a sinusoidal signal with randomly varying frequency has a long history. It is one of the core problems in signal processing, arising in many applications including, for example, underwater acoustic frequency line tracking, demodulation of FM radio communications, laser phase drift in optical communications and, recently, continuous gravitational wave astronomy. In this paper we describe a Markov Chain Monte Carlo based procedure to compute a specific detection posterior density. We demonstrate via simulation that our approach results in an up to percent higher detection rate than Hidden Markov Model based solutions, which are generally considered to be the leading techniques for these problems.
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