Superflares on solar-like stars: A new method for identifying the true flare sources in photometric surveys

TL;DR

This paper introduces a novel method combining pixel-level analysis and Bayesian modeling to accurately identify true stellar flare sources in photometric survey data, reducing contamination from background stars.

Contribution

The authors develop a new technique that improves flare attribution accuracy by analyzing pixel data and applying Bayesian PSF fitting, addressing limitations of previous light curve-based methods.

Findings

Reduced false positive flare detections by identifying background sources.

Confirmed 283 superflares on 178 target stars.

Highlighted the importance of pixel-level analysis for accurate flare attribution.

Abstract

Over the past years, thousands of stellar flares have been detected by harvesting data from large photometric surveys. These detections, however, do not account for potential sources of contamination such as background stars appearing in the same aperture as the primary target. We present a new method for identifying the true flare sources in large photometric surveys using data from the Kepler mission. Potential flares are identified in two steps: first, we search the light curves for at least two subsequent data points exceeding a 5{\sigma} threshold above the running mean. For these two cadences, we subtract the "quiet" stellar flux from the Kepler pixel data to obtain new images where the potential flare is the main light source. In the second step, we use a Bayesian approach to fit the point spread function of the instrument to determine the most likely location of the flux excess on the detector. We applied our method to 5862 main-sequence stars with near-solar effective temperatures. We found 2274 events exceeding the 5-sigma in at least two consecutive points in the light curves. Applying the second step reduced this number to 342 superflares. Of these, 283 flares happened on 178 target stars, 47 events are associated with fainter background stars, and in 10 cases, the flare location cannot be distinguished between the target and a background star. We also present cases where flares have been reported previously but our technique could not attribute them to the target star. We conclude that 1) identifying outliers in the light curves alone is insufficient to attribute them to stellar flares and 2) flares can only be uniquely attributed to a certain star when the instrument pixel-level data together with the point spread function are taken into account. As a consequence, previous flare statistics are likely contaminated by instrumental effects and unresolved astrophysical sources.