Towards hourly three-dimensional ensemble data assimilation of screen-level observations into coupled atmosphere-land models

TL;DR

This study demonstrates that hourly three-dimensional ensemble data assimilation using a localized ensemble Kalman filter improves soil moisture estimates by directly incorporating screen-level observations, showing promise for coupled atmosphere-land models.

Contribution

It introduces a novel application of hourly 3D ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation for coupled models, bypassing spatial interpolation of observations.

Findings

Error reduction compared to daily 1D Kalman filter

Positive impact during daytime, neutral at night

Direct assimilation of screen-level observations into soil moisture

Abstract

We explore the potential of three-dimensional data assimilation for assimilating sparsely-distributed 2-metre temperature observations across the coupled atmosphere-land interface into the soil moisture. Using idealised twin experiments with the limited-area modelling platform TerrSysMP and synthetic observations, we avoid model biases and directly control errors in the initial conditions and observations. These experiments allow us to test hourly data assimilation with a localised ensemble Kalman filter, as often used for mesoscale data assimilation. We find here an error reduction of such an ensemble Kalman filter approach compared to daily-updating with a one-dimensional simplified extended Kalman filter. We attribute this improvement to the ensemble approximation of the sensitivities and the more frequent updates with the ensemble Kalman filter. The hourly updates result hereby into a positive assimilation impact during daytime and a neutral impact during night. With a three-dimensional ensemble Kalman filter, we can directly assimilate screen-level observations at their respective position into the soil moisture, skipping the otherwise needed spatial interpolation step. These findings suggest an emerging potential for the localised three-dimensional ensemble Kalman filter to hourly assimilate screen-level observations into coupled atmosphere-land models.