Is LTT 1445 Ab a Hycean World or a cold Haber World? Exploring the Potential of Twinkle to Unveil Its Nature

TL;DR

This study assesses Twinkle's capability to characterize the atmosphere of LTT 1445 Ab, aiming to distinguish between different atmospheric compositions and detect biosignatures like ammonia.

Contribution

It demonstrates Twinkle's potential to differentiate between Haber and Hycean worlds and to detect biosignatures such as ammonia in exoplanet atmospheres.

Findings

Twinkle can distinguish atmospheric types with a chi-squared of 3.01.

Ammonia detection is feasible at 3σ with 25 transits under ideal conditions.

Interior analysis favors a Haber World scenario for LTT 1445 Ab.

Abstract

We explore the prospects for Twinkle to determine the atmospheric composition of the nearby terrestrial-like planet LTT 1445 Ab, including the possibility of detecting the potential biosignature ammonia (NH$_{3}$). At a distance of 6.9 pc, this system is the second closest known transiting system and will be observed through transmission spectroscopy with the upcoming Twinkle mission. Twinkle is equipped with a 0.45 m telescope, covers a spectral wavelength range of 0.5 - 4.5 $\mu$m simultaneously with a resolving power between 50 - 70, and is designed to study exoplanets, bright stars, and solar system objects. We investigate the mission's potential to study LTT 1445 Ab and find that Twinkle data can distinguish between a cold Haber World (N$_2$-H$_2$-dominated atmosphere) and a Hycean World with a H$_2$O-H$_2$-dominated atmosphere, with a $\chi_{\nu}^{2}$ = 3.01. Interior composition analysis favors a Haber World scenario for LTT 1445 Ab, which suggests that the planet probably lacks a substantial water layer. We use petitRADTRANS and a Twinkle simulator to simulate transmission spectra for the more likely scenario of a cold Haber World for which NH$_{3}$ is considered to be a biosignature. We study the detectability under different scenarios: varying hydrogen fraction, concentration of ammonia, and cloud coverage. We find that ammonia can be detected at a $\sim$ 3$\sigma$ level for optimal (non-cloudy) conditions with 25 transits and a volume mixing ration of 4.0 ppm of NH$_{3}$. We provide examples of retrieval analysis to constrain potential NH$_{3}$ and H$_{2}$O in the atmosphere. Our study illustrates the potential of Twinkle to characterize atmospheres of potentially habitable exoplanets.