Optimal Controls for Forward-Backward Stochastic Differential Equations: Time-Inconsistency and Time-Consistent Solutions

TL;DR

This paper develops a framework for finding time-consistent equilibrium strategies in optimal control problems involving forward-backward stochastic differential equations with recursive cost functionals, addressing inherent time-inconsistencies.

Contribution

It introduces a novel approach using equilibrium HJB equations to obtain local optimal strategies for complex stochastic control problems with recursive costs.

Findings

Existence and uniqueness of classical solutions to the equilibrium HJB equation.

Construction of time-consistent equilibrium strategies for FBSDE control problems.

Application to linear-quadratic, mean-variance, and Stackelberg game models.

Abstract

This paper is concerned with an optimal control problem for a forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE, for short) with a recursive cost functional determined by a backward stochastic Volterra integral equation (BSVIE, for short). It is found that such an optimal control problem is time-inconsistent in general, even if the cost functional is reduced to a classical Bolza type one as in Peng [50], Lim-Zhou [41], and Yong [74]. Therefore, instead of finding a global optimal control (which is time-inconsistent), we will look for a time-consistent and locally optimal equilibrium strategy, which can be constructed via the solution of an associated equilibrium Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB, for short) equation. A verification theorem for the local optimality of the equilibrium strategy is proved by means of the generalized Feynman-Kac formula for BSVIEs and some stability estimates of the representation for parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs, for short). Under certain conditions, it is proved that the equilibrium HJB equation, which is a nonlocal PDE, admits a unique classical solution. As special cases and applications, the linear-quadratic problems, a mean-variance model, a social planner problem with heterogeneous Epstein-Zin utilities, and a Stackelberg game are briefly investigated. It turns out that our framework can cover not only the optimal control problems for FBSDEs studied in [50,41,74], and so on, but also the problems of the general discounting and some nonlinear appearance of conditional expectations for the terminal state, studied in Yong [75,77] and Bj\"{o}rk-Khapko-Murgoci [7].