Exploiting Expert Knowledge for Assigning Firms to Industries: A Novel Deep Learning Method

TL;DR

This paper introduces a deep learning approach that integrates expert definitions, industry relationships, and historical assignments to improve firm-to-industry classification, considering the timing of expert assignments.

Contribution

It presents a novel deep learning method with dynamic industry representation and hierarchical assignment, effectively combining multiple expert knowledge types and temporal information.

Findings

Enhanced accuracy in industry assignment tasks.

Effective integration of multiple expert knowledge sources.

Consideration of temporal aspects improves classification relevance.

Abstract

Industry assignment, which assigns firms to industries according to a predefined Industry Classification System (ICS), is fundamental to a large number of critical business practices, ranging from operations and strategic decision making by firms to economic analyses by government agencies. Three types of expert knowledge are essential to effective industry assignment: definition-based knowledge (i.e., expert definitions of each industry), structure-based knowledge (i.e., structural relationships among industries as specified in an ICS), and assignment-based knowledge (i.e., prior firm-industry assignments performed by domain experts). Existing industry assignment methods utilize only assignment-based knowledge to learn a model that classifies unassigned firms to industries, and overlook definition-based and structure-based knowledge. Moreover, these methods only consider which industry a firm has been assigned to, but ignore the time-specificity of assignment-based knowledge, i.e., when the assignment occurs. To address the limitations of existing methods, we propose a novel deep learning-based method that not only seamlessly integrates the three types of knowledge for industry assignment but also takes the time-specificity of assignment-based knowledge into account. Methodologically, our method features two innovations: dynamic industry representation and hierarchical assignment. The former represents an industry as a sequence of time-specific vectors by integrating the three types of knowledge through our proposed temporal and spatial aggregation mechanisms. The latter takes industry and firm representations as inputs, computes the probability of assigning a firm to different industries, and assigns the firm to the industry with the highest probability.