A multi-criterion simulation model to determine dengue outbreaks
Piotr Jakubowski, Hasitha Erandi, Anuradha Mahasinghe, Sanjeewa Perera, and Andrzej Amelja\'nczyk
TL;DR
This paper introduces a multi-criterion simulation model that predicts dengue outbreaks up to one month in advance using regional transmission data, aiding early intervention efforts.
Contribution
The study presents a novel multi-criterion simulation model specifically designed for early dengue outbreak prediction in regional settings.
Findings
Model accurately predicts outbreaks up to one month ahead
Validated using dengue transmission data from Sri Lanka
Potential to improve early warning systems for dengue
Abstract
In this study, we develop a multi criteria model to identify dengue outbreak periods. To validate the model, we performed a simulation using dengue transmission-related data in Sri Lanka's Western Province. Our results indicated that the developed model can be used to predict a dengue outbreak situation in a given region up to one month in advance.
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Taxonomy
TopicsMosquito-borne diseases and control · Dengue and Mosquito Control Research · Viral Infections and Vectors