Observable tests for the light-sail scenario of interstellar objects

TL;DR

This paper evaluates the light sail hypothesis for `Oumuamua by comparing physical models with observational data, concluding that it is unlikely `Oumuamua is a light sail due to low probability matches and distinctive predicted signatures.

Contribution

The study provides a detailed analysis of light sail dynamics and observational signatures, offering methods to distinguish light sails from other interstellar objects in future surveys.

Findings

Drift of light sail in interstellar medium is ~100 au over 1 pc.

Probability of matching `Oumuamua's brightness variation is less than 1.5%.

Probability of light sail visibility in observations is 0.4%.

Abstract

We scrutinize the light sail scenario of the first interstellar object (ISO) 1I/2017 U1 (`Oumuamua) by making comparisons between physical models and observational constraints. These analyses can be generalized for future surveys of `Oumuamua-like objects. The light sail goes through a drift in the interstellar space due to the magnetic field and gas atoms, which poses challenges to the navigation system. When the light sail enters the inner solar system, the sideways radiation pressure leads to a considerable non-radial displacement. The immensely high dimensional ratio and the tumbling motion could cause a light curve with an extremely large amplitude and could even make the light sail invisible from time to time. These observational features allow us to examine the light sail scenario of interstellar objects. Our results show that the drift of the freely rotating light sail in the interstellar medium is $\sim 100\,$au even if the travel distance is only 1 pc. The probability is < 1.5\% for the expected brightness modulation of the light sail to match with `Oumuamua's observed variation amplitude ($\sim$ 2.5 -- 3). In addition, the probability is 0.4% for the tumbling light-sail to be visible (brighter than V=27) in all 55 observations spread over two months after discovery. Radiation pressure could cause a larger displacement that is normal to the orbital plane for a lightsail than that for `Oumuamua. Also, the ratio of anti-solar to sideways acceleration of `Oumuamua deviates from that of the light sail by ~ 1.5{\sigma}. We suggest that `Oumuamua is unlikely a light sail. The dynamics of an intruding light sail, if exist, has distinct observational signatures, which can be quantitatively identified and analyzed with our methods in future surveys.