Challenges in forming Phobos and Deimos directly from a splitting of an ancestral single moon

TL;DR

This study uses orbital simulations to evaluate whether Phobos and Deimos could have formed from a split of a single ancestral moon, concluding that such a scenario likely leads to disruptive impacts and debris formation, making it improbable.

Contribution

The paper provides the first detailed orbital integration analysis of the splitting hypothesis, showing that the moons would collide and form debris, challenging previous formation theories.

Findings

Moons likely collide within 10,000 years during orbital precession.

High-velocity impacts would be disruptive, producing debris rings.

The formation scenario from a single split is unlikely based on orbital dynamics.

Abstract

The origin and evolution of Martian moons have been intensively debated in recent years. It is proposed that Phobos and Deimos may originate directly from a splitting of an ancestral moon orbiting at around the Martian synchronous orbit. At this hypothetical splitting, the apocenter of the inner moon (presumed as Phobos) and the pericenter of the outer moon (presumed as Deimos) are reported to coincide, in that, their semi-major axes reside inside and outside the Martian synchronous orbit with non-zero eccentricities, respectively. However, the successive orbital evolution of the two moons is not studied. Here, we perform direct $N$-body orbital integrations of the moons, including the Martian oblateness of the $J_2$ and $J_4$ terms. We show that the two moons, while they precess, likely collide within $\sim 10^4$ years with an impact velocity of $v_{\rm imp} \sim 100-300$ m s$^{-1}$ ($\sim 10-30$ times moons' escape velocity) and with an isotropic impact direction. The impact occurs around the apocenter and the pericenter of the inner and outer moons, respectively, where the timescale of this periodic orbital alignment is regulated by the precession. By performing additional impact simulations, we show that such a high-velocity impact likely results in a disruptive outcome, forming a debris ring at around the Martian synchronous orbit, from which several small moons would accrete. Such an evolutionary path would eventually form a different Martian moons system from the one we see today. Therefore, it seems unlikely that Phobos and Deimos are split directly from a single ancestral moon.