Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022
Giorgio Guzzetta, Alessia Mammone, Federica Ferraro, Anna Caraglia,, Alessia Rapiti, Valentina Marziano, Piero Poletti, Danilo Cereda, Francesco, Vairo, Giovanna Mattei, Francesco Maraglino, Giovanni Rezza, Stefano Merler
TL;DR
This study provides early estimates of monkeypox's incubation period, generation time, and reproduction number in Italy during May-June 2022, informing public health responses.
Contribution
It offers the first localized estimates of key epidemiological parameters for monkeypox in Italy during the initial outbreak phase.
Findings
Mean incubation period of 9.1 days
Mean generation time of 12.5 days
Reproduction number of 2.43 in MSM community
Abstract
We analyzed the first 255 PCR-confirmed cases of monkeypox occurred in Italy in 2022. Preliminary estimates indicate: mean incubation period of 9.1 days (95%CI of the mean: 6.5-10.9); mean generation time of 12.5 days (95%CI of the mean: 7.5-17.3); reproduction number in the MSM community of 2.43 (95%CI: 1.82-3.26).
Peer Reviews
No public reviews on file for this paper yet. If you reviewed it on a platform where reviews are public (OpenReview, ICLR, NeurIPS, ICML), you can paste yours below so the community can read it here.
Videos
No videos yet. Explain this paper in a talk, walkthrough, or lecture? Add one.
Taxonomy
TopicsPoxvirus research and outbreaks · Bacteriophages and microbial interactions · Herpesvirus Infections and Treatments