Automated discovery of interpretable gravitational-wave population models
Kaze W.K Wong, Miles Cranmer

TL;DR
This paper introduces an automated method using symbolic regression to derive interpretable analytic models of gravitational-wave populations from data, balancing accuracy with physical interpretability.
Contribution
It presents a novel approach that combines flexible models with symbolic regression to automatically discover simple, interpretable population models for gravitational-wave data.
Findings
Recovered known GW population models like power-law-plus-Gaussian
Discovered a new empirical population model with high accuracy and simplicity
Demonstrated the method's potential for application to other astrophysical phenomena
Abstract
We present an automatic approach to discover analytic population models for gravitational-wave (GW) events from data. As more gravitational-wave (GW) events are detected, flexible models such as Gaussian Mixture Models have become more important in fitting the distribution of GW properties due to their expressivity. However, flexible models come with many parameters that lack physical motivation, making interpreting the implication of these models challenging. In this work, we demonstrate symbolic regression can complement flexible models by distilling the posterior predictive distribution of such flexible models into interpretable analytic expressions. We recover common GW population models such as a power-law-plus-Gaussian, and find a new empirical population model which combines accuracy and simplicity. This demonstrates a strategy to automatically discover interpretable population…
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Taxonomy
TopicsGaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference · Time Series Analysis and Forecasting · Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
