Robust Bayesian Recourse
Tuan-Duy H. Nguyen, Ngoc Bui, Duy Nguyen, Man-Chung Yue, Viet Anh, Nguyen

TL;DR
This paper introduces a robust Bayesian recourse method that minimizes posterior odds ratio and explicitly accounts for model perturbations, providing an effective, model-agnostic approach to counteract future model shifts without linear approximations.
Contribution
It proposes a novel robust Bayesian recourse framework that handles model perturbations using Wasserstein distance, solved efficiently via gradient descent without linear approximations.
Findings
Effective against model shifts in numerical experiments
Does not require linear approximation steps
Decomposes into simple two-dimensional optimization problems
Abstract
Algorithmic recourse aims to recommend an informative feedback to overturn an unfavorable machine learning decision. We introduce in this paper the Bayesian recourse, a model-agnostic recourse that minimizes the posterior probability odds ratio. Further, we present its min-max robust counterpart with the goal of hedging against future changes in the machine learning model parameters. The robust counterpart explicitly takes into account possible perturbations of the data in a Gaussian mixture ambiguity set prescribed using the optimal transport (Wasserstein) distance. We show that the resulting worst-case objective function can be decomposed into solving a series of two-dimensional optimization subproblems, and the min-max recourse finding problem is thus amenable to a gradient descent algorithm. Contrary to existing methods for generating robust recourses, the robust Bayesian recourse…
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Taxonomy
TopicsGaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods and Inference · Forecasting Techniques and Applications
