Shallow and Deep Nonparametric Convolutions for Gaussian Processes
Thomas M. McDonald, Magnus Ross, Michael T. Smith, Mauricio A., \'Alvarez

TL;DR
This paper introduces a nonparametric process convolution approach for Gaussian processes that enhances flexibility, scalability, and the ability to infer covariance functions in deep models, outperforming standard methods on benchmarks.
Contribution
It proposes a novel nonparametric convolution framework for GPs, enabling scalable inference, multi-output modeling, and data-driven covariance learning in deep GP architectures.
Findings
Improves performance on large datasets compared to standard GPs.
Enables inference of covariance functions in deep GP models.
Supports multi-output Gaussian process modeling.
Abstract
A key challenge in the practical application of Gaussian processes (GPs) is selecting a proper covariance function. The moving average, or process convolutions, construction of GPs allows some additional flexibility, but still requires choosing a proper smoothing kernel, which is non-trivial. Previous approaches have built covariance functions by using GP priors over the smoothing kernel, and by extension the covariance, as a way to bypass the need to specify it in advance. However, such models have been limited in several ways: they are restricted to single dimensional inputs, e.g. time; they only allow modelling of single outputs and they do not scale to large datasets since inference is not straightforward. In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric process convolution formulation for GPs that alleviates these weaknesses by using a functional sampling approach based on Matheron's…
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Taxonomy
TopicsGaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference · Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting · Forecasting Techniques and Applications
MethodsTest · Convolution · Greedy Policy Search
